Ask any coach in the nation if he/she would rather have a
win or a take a loss over a quality opponent. I would imagine the results would
be a landslide of a response; take the win. Now ask the same question to the
College Football Playoff committee and the response may shock you. Suddenly, a
quality loss seems to hold more stature in the eyes of the 12 member committee
rather than a win.
Welcome to the confusion that is the College Football
Playoffs where strength of schedule is important and winning is not everything.
Just ask 8-0 Marshall football—who happens to be one of three undefeated teams
in the nation—as the Thundering Herd finds itself ranked No. 23 in the latest
AP Top 25 Poll, No. 22 in the Amway Coaches Poll but remains unranked in the
College Football Playoff Rankings.
Even the College Football Playoff Committee Chair Jeff Long
appeared to have lost count on the number of undefeated teams in the nation
when he addressed the media after the latest rankings were revealed.
“Certainly we talked about undefeated teams and as you know
there are two,” Long said when asked of the value of being undefeated. However,
Long found himself having to make an adjustment as he continued his remarks.
“Again we started back at the beginning, well there are
three undefeated teams,” quickly corrected Long before continuing his
statement.
So which team did he forget about? No. 1 Mississippi State, No.
2 Florida State or unranked Marshall, all of which are 8-0 this season.
“At this point we stop ranking at 25 because that’s our
charge,” Long said of ranking teams outside of the Top 25 until a ranking is
established for the top G5 school. “So we don’t rank beyond 25.”
Numbers do not lie but I will leave the decision to you the
reader to decide which of the three Long forgot.
Welcome to the Power 5 country club where the invited are
welcomed and the rest may look but not touch. This is the setting teams such as
Marshall, Colorado State and Boise State currently find themselves a part of
with no real explanation of where they stand against the nation, or one
another, in sight anytime soon.
Still not convinced of the parity between the P5 and G5
schools? A simple break down of the new No. 24 team in the rankings Georgia
Tech will surely clear this up. As a member of the powerful ACC, GT has played
Wofford (Southern), Tulane (AAC) and Georgia Southern (Sun Belt) during its
non-conference schedule. As a whole, the three teams are a combined 14-11 and
none are a member
of a P5 school. However, GT plays four non-conference games
this season.
Who is the fourth? No. 20 Georgia (SEC).
“As I said last week, our meeting this week would begin with
a clean sheet of paper and it did,” Long said of the latest rankings meeting.
Perhaps not completely clean as a 7-2 Georgia Tech appears
to be receiving some credibility for the Georgia game that has yet to play.
After all, Tech lost in back-to-back weeks to No. 22 Duke (7-1) and North
Carolina (4-5). Georgia Tech’s overall conference schedule is 29-24 with four
of its five opponents having losing records.
Did I mention that Georgia Tech received only 15 points in
the AP Poll (29th) and 32 in the Coaches Poll (28th)?
Marshall received 238 in the AP and 253 in the Coaches Poll while Colorado
State earned 67 and 81 respectively.
But no worries, Georgia Tech is looked at as a member of the
“country club” so of course a 7-2 ACC team looks much better than an 8-0
Marshall from CUSA or 8-1 Colorado State from Mountain West.
However, compare Georgia Tech’s non-conference strength of
schedule thus far to that of Marshall and Colorado State and the numbers say
different.
Tech’s non-conference average according to the Sagarin
Ratings is a staggering 128.7 through three games. Marshall, who supposedly had
a laugher of non-conference schedule, is 120 through its four non-conference
games while Colorado State is a 73 although three of its four non-conference
opponents have collectively won 4 games.
A message the G5 schools can take from this, stay off the
lawn and do not get finger prints on the glass while looking in at “Big Boy”
football.
So for future reference, do not schedule games that are inviting
to your fan base or teams that perhaps were relevant when those schedules were
created four or more years ago. Instead, schedule every non-conference game
with teams that will provide a quality loss therefore beefing up the strength
of schedule.
After all, winning is so easy in today’s game that college
football has more undefeated teams than one can account for.
Just ask Jeff Long. It’s as easy as 1, 2...oh I forgot what
comes next.
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